HELP! All-in Equity Value Difference Calculation

There are still some hands in which I just can’t make Poker Copilot calculate the same all-in equity value as Hold’em Manager, with no idea why.

Can you see what I’m doing wrong here? I’d appreciate any feedback, so that I can get the formula right and meet my self-imposed Friday deadline.


Given that for the player stevoski111:

  pot              = 545 cents
rake = 36 cents
amountWon = 509 cents
equityPercentage = 87.2% (and Hold'em Manager agrees)


I’m using this formula, which I thought was the formula used by Hold’em Manager:

  All-in EV Diff = equityPercentage * (pot - rake) - amountWon 
= 0.872 * (545 - 36) - 509
= - 65 cents



Hold’em Manager thinks the All-in EV Diff is -58 cents. Poker Copilot thinks the All-in EV Diff is -65 cents.

Here’s the hand:

Full Tilt Poker Game #17777514296: Table Mach 10 - $0.05/$0.10 - No Limit Hold'em - 5:30:33 ET - 2010/01/21
Seat 1: 17Rob98 ($9.90)
Seat 2: Eeevie ($1.44)
Seat 3: rafalek007 ($7.84)
Seat 4: lataupe28 ($19.36)
Seat 5: Nadejde ($20.40)
Seat 6: stevoski111 ($2.35)
Seat 7: PKRshiva ($3.55)
Seat 8: Representive ($8.34)
Seat 9: jigglypuff64 ($4.55)
17Rob98 posts the small blind of $0.05
Eeevie posts the big blind of $0.10
The button is in seat #9
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to stevoski111 [Jc Js]
rafalek007 raises to $0.35
lataupe28 folds
Nadejde calls $0.35
stevoski111 raises to $0.60
PKRshiva folds
Representive folds
jigglypuff64 folds
17Rob98 folds
Eeevie folds
rafalek007 calls $0.25
Nadejde calls $0.25
*** FLOP *** [4h Qs 6h]
rafalek007 checks
Nadejde checks
stevoski111 bets $0.65
rafalek007 folds
Nadejde raises to $3.90
stevoski111 calls $1.10, and is all in
Nadejde shows [Th Td]
stevoski111 shows [Jc Js]
Uncalled bet of $2.15 returned to Nadejde
*** TURN *** [4h Qs 6h] [7d]
*** RIVER *** [4h Qs 6h 7d] [Jd]
Nadejde shows a pair of Tens
stevoski111 shows three of a kind, Jacks
stevoski111 wins the pot ($5.09) with three of a kind, Jacks
*** SUMMARY ***
Total pot $5.45 | Rake $0.36
Board: [4h Qs 6h 7d Jd]
Seat 1: 17Rob98 (small blind) folded before the Flop
Seat 2: Eeevie (big blind) folded before the Flop
Seat 3: rafalek007 folded on the Flop
Seat 4: lataupe28 didn't bet (folded)
Seat 5: Nadejde showed [Th Td] and lost with a pair of Tens
Seat 6: stevoski111 showed [Jc Js] and won ($5.09) with three of a kind, Jacks
Seat 7: PKRshiva didn't bet (folded)
Seat 8: Representive didn't bet (folded)
Seat 9: jigglypuff64 (button) didn't bet (folded)